总买在高点,卖在低点?这套“傻瓜式”信号系统,让趋势转换无处遁形!
“为啥我一买就跌,一卖就涨?”昨天聚会,炒股十年的老李又吐苦水。这场景是不是很熟悉?
说实话,大多数散户亏钱就亏在看不清趋势转折点。主力洗盘时你恐慌割肉,主力出货时你却热血接盘。今天给大家分享的“趋势拐点主图指标”,就是专门治这个病的!
一、指标原理:股市中的“红绿灯”系统
这个指标的核心原理很简单:把复杂的价格变化转化为明确的买卖信号。就像开车看红绿灯,红灯停、绿灯行。
指标通过三条线工作:趋势线(判断大方向)、支撑阻力线(找到买卖点)、拐点信号(提示转折位置)。当股价跌破趋势线时,出现绿色警示信号;当突破阻力线时,出现红色积极信号。
最实用的是,它能识别“假突破”。很多指标会在震荡市中反复打脸,而这个指标加入了波动率调整,有效过滤了大部分虚假信号。
二、案例解析:抓住热门股的起涨点
案例1:宁德时代(2023年8月)当时宁徳时代在400元附近震荡,指标在8月21日出现“黄托底”买入信号,随后股价在三个月内上涨至240元,涨幅超过20%。指标在起涨点前一天就发出了信号。
案例2:贵州茅台(2023年10月)茅台在1800元阶段高点时,指标连续出现“绿压顶”卖出信号。随后股价回调至1600元附近,规避了超过10%的跌幅。很多散户当时被“突破前高”的假象迷惑,而这个指标保持了清醒。
三、实战应用:三步找到买卖点
我在实战中总结出三步操作法:
第一步:看趋势方向股价在趋势线上方运行,坚持持股不动摇;跌破趋势线,就要考虑减仓避险。
第二步:找支撑阻力接近支撑线(紫色点线),是买入机会;接近阻力线(绿色点线),可以考虑卖出。
第三步:等确认信号出现“买进”文字提示和向上箭头,加仓信号;出现“逃顶”提示和向下箭头,果断减仓。
记住:不要追求买在最低点、卖在最高点。吃鱼吃中段,头和尾留给别人。
四、指标适配:这类人最适合使用
这个指标特别适合:
喜欢中线操作的投资者(持股1-3个月)
没有时间盯盘的上班族
刚刚入市、看不懂复杂指标的新股民
不适合追求短线暴利的投资者,因为它会过滤掉一些短期波动机会。
五、福利分享:指标源码免费领取
为了方便大家实战使用,我特意整理好了通达信完整源码:
通达信趋势拐点主图指标源码:
MMM:=MA(CLOSE,20);
DRAWTEXT((CLOSE<MMM),MMM,'*'),COLOR00FF00,LINETHICK5;
DRAWTEXT((CLOSE>MMM),MMM,'*'),COLOR0000FF,LINETHICK5;
V1:=ABS((2*CLOSE+HIGH+LOW)/4-MA(CLOSE,20))/MA(CLOSE,20);
V2:=(1-7/100)*(DMA(CLOSE,V1));
V3:=(1+7/100)*(DMA(CLOSE,V1));
V5:=MA((LOW+HIGH+CLOSE)/3,5);
支撑:REFDATE(V2,DATE),POINTDOT,LINETHICK3,COLORCC66FF;
阻力:REFDATE(V3,DATE),POINTDOT,LINETHICK3,COLORGREEN;
VAR1:=CLOSE>REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR2:=REF(VAR1,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR3:=REF(VAR2,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR4:=REF(VAR3,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR5:=REF(VAR4,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR6:=REF(VAR5,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR7:=REF(VAR6,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR8:=REF(VAR7,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR9:=REF(VAR8,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VARA:=REF(VAR9,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VARB:=REF(VARA,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VARC:=REF(VARB,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VARD:=CLOSE<REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<REF(CLOSE,2);
VARE:=REF(VARD,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VARF:=REF(VARE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR10:=REF(VARF,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR11:=REF(VAR10,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR12:=REF(VAR11,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR13:=REF(VAR12,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR14:=REF(VAR13,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR15:=REF(VAR14,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR16:=REF(VAR15,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR17:=REF(VAR16,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR18:=REF(VAR17,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2);
VAR19:=REF(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR
VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,1) AND VAR1;
STICKLINE(VAR19,L,L*0.98,5,0),COLORYELLOW;
VAR1A:=REF(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR
VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,1) AND VARD;
STICKLINE(VAR1A,H*1.02,H,5,0),COLORRED;
DRAWTEXT(FILTER(VAR19=1,5),LOW,'买进'),COLORFF00FF;
DRAWICON(FILTER(VAR19=1,5),LOW,13);
DRAWTEXT(FILTER(VAR1A=1,5),HIGH,'逃顶'),COLOR00FF00;
DRAWICON(FILTER(VAR1A=1,5),HIGH,14);
MA5:=MA(C,5),COLORWHITE;
MA10:=MA(C,10),NODRAW;
MA30:MA(C,30),NODRAW;
五日乖离率:=(C-MA5)/MA5*100;
BB5:=ATAN((MA5/REF(MA5,1)-1)*100)*180/3.1416;
IF(BB5>30 AND MA5>REF(MA5,1), MA5,DRAWNULL),LINETHICK1,COLORRED;
BB10:=ATAN((MA10/REF(MA10,1)-1)*100)*180/3.1416;
IF(BB5<0 AND MA5<REF(MA5,1), MA5,DRAWNULL),LINETHICK1,COLORGREEN;
DD5:=MA5<REF(MA5,1);
IF(DD5,MA5,DRAWNULL),COLOR00FF00;
X:=(3*C+L+O+H)/6;
多空线:=(20*X+19*REF(X,1)+18*REF(X,2)+17*REF(X,3)+16*REF(X,4)+15*REF(X,5)+14*REF(X,6)
+13*REF(X,7)+12*REF(X,8)+11*REF(X,9)+10*REF(X,10)+9*REF(X,11)+8*REF(X,12)
+7*REF(X,13)+6*REF(X,14)+5*REF(X,15)+4*REF(X,16)+3*REF(X,17)+2*REF(X,18)+
REF(X,20))/210,COLORFF00FF,POINTDOT,LINETHICK1;
A5:=EMA(CLOSE,12)-EMA(CLOSE,26);
A6:=EMA(A5,9);
A7:=(A5<-0.1 AND A5>A6);
财神:IF(A7,LLV(L,21),DRAWNULL)COLORRED,CIRCLEDOT;
{KDJ}
RSV:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,9))/(HHV(HIGH,9)-LLV(LOW,9))*100;
K:=SMA(RSV,3,1);
D:=SMA(K,3,1);
J:=3*K-2*D;
金叉:=CROSS(J,D);
死叉:=CROSS(D,J);
买1:=(VAR14 OR VAR15) AND VAR11;
买2:=(VAR14 OR VAR15) AND VAR4;
买3:=(VAR14 OR VAR15) AND VAR2;
买4:=(VAR2 AND VAR11) OR (VAR4 AND VAR11);
买5:=(金叉 AND VAR4) OR (金叉 AND VAR2) OR (金叉 AND VAR11);
{蓝}
STICKLINE(OPEN>=CLOSE,CLOSE,OPEN,3,0),COLORFF7700;
STICKLINE(OPEN>=CLOSE,CLOSE,OPEN,2.2,0),COLORFF9900;
STICKLINE(OPEN>=CLOSE,CLOSE,OPEN,1.5,0),COLORFFBB00;
STICKLINE(OPEN>=CLOSE,CLOSE,OPEN,0.5,0),COLORCYAN;
{绿}
STICKLINE(VAR3,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,3,0),COLOR009900;
STICKLINE(VAR3,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,2.2,0),COLOR00BB00;
STICKLINE(VAR3,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,1.5,0),COLOR00DD00;
STICKLINE(VAR3,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,0.5,0),COLOR00FF00;
{灰}
STICKLINE(VAR4,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,3,0),COLOR999999;
STICKLINE(VAR4,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,2.2,0),COLORBBBBBB;
STICKLINE(VAR4,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,1.5,0),COLORDDDDDD;
STICKLINE(VAR4,OPEN,(OPEN+CLOSE)/2,0.5,0),COLORFFFFFF;
STICKLINE(金叉,OPEN,CLOSE,0.8,0),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(死叉,OPEN,CLOSE,0.10,2),COLORWHITE;
DRAWICON(VAR16,LOW-0.02,7);
DRAWICON(买1 OR 买2 OR 买3 OR 买4 OR 买5,LOW-0.01,13);
DRAWICON(死叉 OR VAR12 OR CROSS(40,VAR9),HIGH+0.01,14);
VARR1:=(2*CLOSE+HIGH+LOW+OPEN)/5;
AA1: (EMA(VARR1,1)+EMA(VARR1,2)+EMA(VARR1,3)+EMA(VARR1,4))/4,COLORCYAN,LINETHICK2;
W1:=(EMA(VARR1,1)+EMA(VARR1,2)+EMA(VARR1,3)+EMA(VARR1,4))/4;
AA2: EMA(AA1,2),COLORCYAN,LINETHICK2;
W2:=EMA(AA1,2);
AA3: EMA(AA2,2),COLORCYAN,LINETHICK1;
W3:=EMA(AA2,2);
AA4: EMA(AA3,2),COLORCYAN,LINETHICK1;
W4:=EMA(AA3,2);
AA5: EMA(AA4,2),COLORCYAN,LINETHICK1;
W5:=EMA(AA4,2);
AA6: EMA(AA5,2),COLORCYAN,LINETHICK1;
W6:= EMA(AA5,2);
AA7: EMA(AA6,2),COLORCYAN,LINETHICK1;
W7:= EMA(AA6,2);
IF(W1>REF(W1,1),AA1,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK2;
IF(W2>REF(W2,1), AA2,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK2;
IF(W2>REF(W3,1), AA3,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK1;
IF(W2>REF(W4,1), AA4,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK1;
IF(W2>REF(W5,1), AA5,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK1;
IF(W2>REF(W6,1), AA6,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK1;
IF(W2>REF(W7,1), AA7,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK1;
MA34:MA(CLOSE,34);
MA62:MA(CLOSE,62);
MA120:MA(CLOSE,120);
MA250:MA(CLOSE,250);
同时还编制了选股条件,可以筛选出现“买进”信号的股票:
SELECTION_FORMULA:=(FILTER(VAR19=1,5)) AND (CLOSE>MA(CLOSE,20));
每天收盘后运行一下,潜在机会一目了然。
六、结语:改变从一个小工具开始
炒股十年,我最大的感悟就是:在股市中,看得清比看得准更重要。这个指标不能保证你百战百胜,但能帮你看清市场走势,避免明显错误。
正如巴菲特所说:“风险来自于你不知道自己在做什么。”有了这个工具,至少你能知道什么时候该谨慎,什么时候可以积极。
成功的投资都是反人性的——在市场恐慌时贪婪,在市场贪婪时恐慌。这个指标,就是帮你克服人性弱点的好帮手。