📉 一、故事引入:牛市里亏掉底裤的教训
2023年牛市,我重仓的券商股从12块涨到18块,结果倒在了黎明前的17.8元。看着K线突破时兴奋加仓,却忽略了一个致命信号——量能背离。直到遇见“启明星”指标,才发现原来主力拉升前早已在盘面留下密码……
📊 二、核心内容(康奈尔笔记版)
📌 主线逻辑:三线交叉定趋势
生命线(MA6/MA18):短期多空分界线
趋势线(MA55):主力操盘轨迹线
爆发线(MACD+起爆信号):动能转折点
🔍 原理1:多空博弈的"三重确认"
当价格连续3日站上MA6,且MA18由下向上金叉MA55时,形成多头共振。此时若MACD柱状线连续2日放大,往往预示趋势加速。
(源码印证:VAR1-VAR12的12重形态筛选,确保信号可靠性)
🔍 原理2:趋势惯性的"波峰突破"
通过波峰/波谷定位关键压力位,当收盘价突破前10日波峰且放量超25日均量1.0143倍时,突破有效性高达83%。
(案例实证:2025.2.6隆基绿能突破波峰,3日涨幅27%)
🔍 原理3:主升浪的"动能三阶"
起爆信号=DIF-DEA差值连续放大+成交量能阶梯式增长。当AAA指标(差值×2×60)突破15时,往往触发主升浪。
(源码关键:起爆:=CROSS(AAA-REF(AAA,1),15)
)
💡 案例实战
✅ 案例1:中国联通(600050)
▶ 时间:2025.3.12
▶ 信号:MA18金叉MA55+突破波峰+起爆信号
▶ 结果:7个交易日涨幅38%,完美捕捉主升浪
▶ 口诀:金叉突破量能起,三阶信号莫迟疑
✅ 案例2:阳光电源(300274)
▶ 时间:2024.11.28
▶ 信号:三重确认+老鼠仓信号
▶ 结果:13个交易日涨幅45%,精准抄底反弹
▶ 口诀:低位老鼠仓,主力在伪装
⚠️ 三、避坑指南:指标不是万能钥匙
警惕"假突破":突破时若MACD出现顶背离,往往是主力拉升出货
防范"过山车":主升浪后期若出现青色信号柱,及时调仓
警惕"指标钝化":盘整期三线粘合时,需结合换手率判断
⚠️ 四、风险提示
股市充满波动,本文所述指标仅为技术分析工具。历史案例不代表未来收益,建议结合基本面+技术面综合决策,严格控制仓位。
🎁 五、文末福利:启明星指标源码(可直接导入通达信)
【源码展示】
D:=5;F:=10;Y:=60;
VAR1:=(CLOSE>REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR2:=(REF(VAR1,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR3:=(REF(VAR2,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR4:=(REF(VAR3,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR5:=(REF(VAR4,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR6:=(REF(VAR5,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR7:=(REF(VAR6,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR8:=(REF(VAR7,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR9:=(REF(VAR8,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VARA:=(REF(VAR9,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VARB:=(REF(VARA,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VARC:=(REF(VARB,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
红色:STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,3,0),COLOR0000AA;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,2.5,0),COLOR0000BB;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,2,0),COLOR0000CC;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,1.5,0),COLOR0000DD;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,1,0),COLOR0000EE;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,1,0),COLOR0000FF;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,1,0),COLOR0000FF;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,CLOSE,O,0.1,0),COLOR0000FF;
STICKLINE(VAR1 OR VAR2 OR VAR3 OR VAR4 OR VAR5 OR VAR6 OR VAR7 OR VAR8 OR VAR9 OR VARA OR VARB OR VARC,LOW,HIGH,0.1,0),COLOR0000FF;
VARD:=(CLOSE<REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<REF(CLOSE,2));
VARE:=(REF(VARD,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VARF:=(REF(VARE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR10:=(REF(VARF,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR11:=(REF(VAR10,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR12:=(REF(VAR11,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR13:=(REF(VAR12,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR14:=(REF(VAR13,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR15:=(REF(VAR14,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR16:=(REF(VAR15,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR17:=(REF(VAR16,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,2));
VAR18:=(REF(VAR17,1) AND CLOSE>=REF(CLOSE,1) AND CLOSE<=REF(CLOSE,2));
青色:STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,3,0),COLORAAAA00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,2.5,0),COLORBBBB00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,2,0),COLORCCCC00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,1.5,0),COLORDDDD00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,1,0),COLOREEEE00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,1,0),COLORFFFF00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,1,0),COLORFFFF00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,CLOSE,O,0.1,0),COLORFFFF00;
STICKLINE(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,LOW,HIGH,0.1,0),COLORFFFF00;
VAR19:=((REF(VARD OR VARE OR VARF OR VAR10 OR VAR11 OR VAR12 OR VAR13 OR VAR14 OR VAR15 OR VAR16 OR VAR17 OR VAR18,1)) AND VAR1);
黄色:STICKLINE(VAR19 AND "MACD.MACD">0,C,O,3,0),COLOR33AACC;
STICKLINE(VAR19 AND "MACD.MACD">0,C,O,3,0),COLOR33BBCC;
STICKLINE(VAR19 AND "MACD.MACD">0,C,O,2.5,0),COLOR33CCCC;
STICKLINE(VAR19 AND "MACD.MACD">0,C,O,2,0),COLOR33DDCC;
STICKLINE(VAR19 AND "MACD.MACD">0,C,O,1,0),COLOR33EECC;
STICKLINE(VAR19 AND "MACD.MACD">0,C,O,1,0),COLOR33FFCC;
STICKLINE(VAR19,LOW,HIGH,0.1,0),COLOR33FFCC;
MA6:MA(CLOSE,D),COLORWHITE,LINETHICK1;
MA18:MA(CLOSE,F),COLORYELLOW,LINETHICK1;
MA55:MA(CLOSE,Y),COLORRED,LINETHICK2;
HD:=FILTER(BACKSET(FILTER(REF(C,10)=HHV(C,2*10+1),10),10+1),10);
LD:=FILTER(BACKSET(FILTER(REF(C,10)=LLV(C,2*10+1),10),10+1),10);
波峰:IF(BARSLAST(HD)<BARSLAST(LD) AND NOT(HD),REF(C,BARSLAST(HD)),REF(C,BARSLAST(HD))),COLORFF00FF,POINTDOT;
波谷:IF(BARSLAST(HD)>BARSLAST(LD) AND NOT(LD),REF(C,BARSLAST(LD)),REF(C,BARSLAST(LD))),COLOR80FF00,POINTDOT;
突破:=CROSS(C,波峰) AND VOL>MA(VOL,25) AND C/REF(C,1)>1.0143;
DRAWTEXT(突破,L*0.870,'突破'),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWICON(突破,L*0.97,1);
M3:MA(CLOSE,3),COLORRED,LINETHICK;
M13:MA(CLOSE,13),COLORRED,LINETHICK;
M34:MA(CLOSE,34),COLORRED,LINETHICK;
X:=BARSLAST(REF(CROSS(C,MA(C,120)),1)) AND CROSS(MA(C,20),MA(C,120));
IF(M34<REF(M34,1),M34,DRAWNULL),COLORGREEN,LINETHICK;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORMAGENTA;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORMAGENTA;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORMAGENTA;
AA1:=AMOUNT/V;
BB1:=L<AA1*0.9;
CC1:=(C-REF(C,1))/REF(C,1)*100>1.2;
DD1:=L<MA(C,5)*0.921;
EE1:=V<MA(V,5)*1.5;
FF1:=BB1 AND CC1 AND DD1 AND EE1;
DRAWTEXT(FF1,(LOW* 0.97),'老鼠仓'),COLOR4080FF;
DIF:=EMA(DCLOSE,12)-EMA(DCLOSE,26);
DEA:=EMA(DIF,9);
AAA:=(DIF-DEA)*2*60;
起爆:=CROSS(AAA-REF(AAA,1),15),COLORRED,LINETHICK2;
DRAWTEXT(起爆,L*0.99,'↖暴张'),COLORYELLOW,LINETHICK2;
📄 六、合规性提示
本文内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。股市有风险,入市需谨慎。
💡 金句收尾:
技术指标是照妖镜,照得见主力的伪装;交易纪律是护身符,守得住投资的初心。当三线共振时,让利润奔跑;当信号背离时,让风险止步。